Bitcoin Price Rebound, Gold Comparison, and Expert Shift in Crypto Allocation: What It Means for Investors

Bitcoin (BTC) continues to defy expectations with a strong recovery and shifting sentiment from financial experts, setting the stage for what could be a monumental year in crypto.

With its price showing resilient strength across multiple timeframes and prominent financial voices like Ric Edelman urging larger crypto allocations, BTC is positioning itself not just as a digital asset, but a global macro contender alongside gold, real estate, and fiat.

Daily Chart: V-Shaped Reversal Signals Recovery

Bitcoin’s recent price correction from a high of $110,789 to a low of $98,240 has been met with a powerful V-shaped rebound.

Daily candles now show smaller-bodied green bars and rising volume, reflecting healthy, but moderated, bullish momentum. The price currently consolidates just below the $108,000 resistance mark.

A confirmed breakout above the $110,000 level, especially on significant volume, could trigger the next leg in Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend. On the downside, support at $103,000 and $98,000 offers a safety net based on historical buying activity.

4-Hour Chart: Bullish Flag Forms

Zooming into the 4-hour timeframe, BTC to USD is printing a textbook bullish flag, a continuation pattern often preceding upward movement. A breakout near $108,358 on strong volume suggests buyers are increasingly confident.

If the price retests the $107,000–$107,500 region and holds, it may offer a strategic entry point for traders. However, a breakdown below $106,800 could invalidate this short-term bullish structure.

1-Hour Chart: Consolidation and Breakout

The 1-hour chart reflects short-term accumulation and breakout behavior. Recent upward moves supported by increasing volume signal renewed momentum.

Entries in the $107,700–$108,000 range may be favorable for bulls, with stops placed below $107,200 to manage risk if sell-side pressure increases.

Technical Indicators: Bullish Momentum Emerges

1. RSI (Relative Strength Index): At 59, indicating a healthy neutral zone—neither overbought nor oversold.

2. Stochastic & CCI (Commodity Channel Index): Neutral, but showing early bullish leanings.

3. MACD & Momentum (10): In buy territory, supporting an emerging upward bias.

4. ADX (Average Directional Index): At 14, reflecting weak trend strength—but not contradicting other bullish signs.

Moving Averages: Strong Bullish Alignment

All major EMAs and SMAs—from 10-day to 200-day—are currently sitting below BTC's market price, sending clear buy signals. Notably:

1. 10-day EMA: $106,462

2. 10-day SMA: $105,524

3. 200-day EMA: $94,475

4. 200-day SMA: $96,224

These levels confirm both short-term and long-term support for a sustained bullish run, contingent on volume spikes and breakout confirmations.

Ric Edelman’s Bold Call: Crypto Allocation Should Be 10–40%

Renowned financial advisor Ric Edelman, founder of the Digital Assets Council of Financial Advisors, has significantly shifted his view on crypto in investment portfolios. In 2021, Edelman recommended just a 1% allocation.

Today, he's calling for 10% to as high as 40%, stating, “That’s astonishing. No one has ever said such a thing.”

Why the Sudden Shift?

1. Crypto’s Maturity: In Edelman’s view, the past four years have brought the industry from uncertainty to mainstream adoption.

2. Government Clarity: Questions around regulatory bans and obsolescence have mostly been resolved.

3. Institutional Adoption: Bitcoin ETFs and institutional inflows validate crypto’s role as a serious asset class.

Additionally, Edelman believes the traditional 60/40 portfolio model is obsolete, especially given increased life expectancy and the need for higher-return assets.

“Today’s 60-year-old is kind of like yesterday’s 30-year-old,” Edelman noted, emphasizing the need for risk-adjusted, high-growth investments like crypto.

He adds that Bitcoin is uncorrelated to traditional assets like stocks, bonds, or commodities, making it a powerful diversification tool.

Bitcoin vs. Gold: A New ATH on the Horizon?

According to pseudonymous analyst Checkmate, Bitcoin is on the verge of breaking its all-time high (ATH) against Gold (XAU), a level that’s remained untouched since 2021.

As of now, 1 BTC equals 32.72 ounces of gold, a figure that has grown over 50% in under a year.

Despite geopolitical instability boosting Gold's appeal, Bitcoin has joined the elite ranks of global macro assets in record time, just 16 years after its inception.

Crypto analyst Willy Woo highlights this as unprecedented, noting BTC is the only asset added to that list in the last 150 years.

Gold-Pegged Stablecoins on the Rise

Digital interest in gold is also spiking. Tether Gold (XAUT) recently reached an $850 million market cap, signaling investor demand for both digital and traditional safe havens.

Bull vs. Bear Outlook

Bullish Case:

1. Strong technical alignment across all timeframes

2. All moving averages and key indicators signaling buy

3. Institutional adoption and long-term asset recognition

4. Analysts predicting BTC could reach $150K–$250K this year, $500K by decade’s end

Bearish Case:

1. Oscillators like RSI and Stochastic remain neutral

2. ADX shows low trend strength

3. Breakdowns below $106,800 (4H) or $107,200 (1H) could invalidate the current bullish setup

Conclusion

With bullish momentum building across timeframes, institutional sentiment strengthening, and experts like Ric Edelman calling for major crypto exposure, Bitcoin appears poised for continued growth, not just in USD value, but as a global macro asset rivaling gold.

As Bitcoin approaches a potential breakout above $110,000, investors and traders alike would be wise to keep a close eye on volume and key support levels. Whether you're a long-term holder or a tactical trader, the coming weeks may prove pivotal.

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